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Financial news & insights from @Polymarket — the world's largest prediction market. Deposit $10, get $25 with code MONEY when you download the app
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Recent posts
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang could face a divorce settlement exceeding $75 billion following his admitted affair with a woman suspected of spying for China.
According to Forbes, his wife of more than 40 years, Lori Huang, could be entitled to a significant portion of his fortune if they divorce, potentially making it one of the largest divorce settlements in history.
No divorce has been announced, and the potential payout remains uncertain.
10 Nov 2026
It’s only Tuesday and Anthropic is already having an incredible week.
On Monday it released Claude Fable 5.2, which it calls its most powerful AI yet. Anthropic says the model designed three working gadgets, including a smart-home hub, from a one-paragraph request, and checked every step of the proof of Fermat’s Last Theorem, a math problem that stumped mathematicians for over 350 years, in just 30 hours.
And now the company behind Claude is about to go public. It plans to sell 825 million shares at $70 to $78 each under the ticker ANT, which would value it at up to about $1.4 trillion. That would be the second-biggest IPO raise ever, behind only SpaceX. According to people familiar with the deal, trading is expected to start Nov 19.
Traders still see Google holding the top AI model at the end of November, and see Nov 19 as the most likely listing date.
Will ANT be the biggest AI debut ever? Tell us below.
New users on the Polymarket US app can get $25 with a $10 deposit by using code MONEY on sign up.
10 Nov 2026
China has denied allegations that it used a woman to spy on Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, calling the claims an unsubstantiated smear campaign.
Huang acknowledged an intimate relationship with a business executive and apologized publicly, while Nvidia launched an independent investigation following reports that U.S. intelligence linked the woman to Beijing.
Traders predict a 16% chance Jensen Huang will be out as Nvidia’s CEO this year.
09 Nov 2026
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has admitted to an affair with a businesswoman suspected of passing information to Beijing, according to CNBC. Nvidia’s board has launched an independent investigation into reports that he was targeted by a foreign intelligence effort.
The woman, Alice Huang, is affiliated with Megaspeed, a cloud company and Nvidia customer accused of helping restricted Chinese companies acquire its AI chips. The allegations come as the U.S. limits exports of Nvidia’s most advanced chips to China over national security concerns.
In a memo to employees, Huang wrote: “I was unfaithful to my wife. My actions hurt her and our children. There is no excuse for what I did.” He added: “I am deeply sorry.”
Independent directors and outside counsel will oversee the investigation. Nvidia’s board says it has no reason to believe national security or company secrets were compromised. Huang remains CEO and has committed to cooperating with the review.
Traders predict a 33% chance Nvidia will be the world’s largest company at the end of December 2026.
08 Nov 2026
Tesla plans to wind down Cybertruck production at its Texas factory around mid-2027 to make room for more Cybercabs, Elon Musk said on Friday.
Estimated U.S. Cybertruck sales fell 48% in 2025, from roughly 39,000 to 20,000, according to Kelley Blue Book. It’s still unclear whether Tesla will move production elsewhere or phase the truck out entirely.
The shift puts more focus on Tesla’s robotaxi ambitions. Separately, traders predict a 55% chance Tesla and SpaceX officially announce a merger by June 30, 2027.
Follow @PolymarketMoney for breaking finance news & updates.
07 Nov 2026
Krispy Kreme entered Friday up 22% over the past year. Nvidia was down 7%, based on Thursday’s closing prices.
Krispy Kreme jumped 31% Thursday after strong earnings and raised guidance. Nvidia fell 9% as investors worried the midterms could delay data-center projects and hurt demand for AI chips, according to CNBC.
That leaves the doughnut chain ahead by 29 percentage points over the past year.
Traders predict a 64% chance Nvidia hits $200 in November, according to Polymarket traders.
06 Nov 2026
U.S. stocks just had their worst day ever in total dollars lost, with $2.8 trillion in market value erased on Thursday. In percentage terms it wasn't the biggest drop on record, but no single session has wiped out more money. The Nasdaq fell 5.6%, the S&P 500 dropped 4.3% and the Dow lost 3.5%.
Chip and AI names led the selloff after Qualcomm and Arm each slid about 11% following earnings, which brought back fears that the AI trade has run too far.
The midterm results added pressure too, since a Democratic Congress raises the odds of new tax and regulation fights for Big Tech.
Traders predict a 10% chance that the AI bubble bursts by the end of 2026.
05 Nov 2026
Elon Musk just spent a record $446 million trying to swing the midterms, and it didn’t work. Roughly half of it went to Texas, where Greg Abbott and Ken Paxton both lost, and Democrats took Congress.
Musk shrugged it off on X, joking that his “election-interfering space lasers didn’t work this time.” His investors weren’t laughing. Tesla and SpaceX both slid Wednesday while the rest of the market rallied.
Still, traders haven’t written him off. Polymarket gives a 70% chance that Tesla and SpaceX officially announce a merger by December 31, 2027.
Follow @PolymarketMoney for breaking finance news & updates. Trading Is Risky. 100% Loss Can Occur. US Users: Featured Market Not Available; Informational Use Only.
05 Nov 2026
U.S. stocks added more than $1 trillion in market value at the open after Democrats won control of both the House and Senate.
Futures sank overnight as results came in, but by the afternoon the Dow was up about 1,500 points, or 2.9%, CNBC reported. Morgan Stanley’s Andrew Slimmon said markets “like gridlock” and “don’t like a party with too much power.”
Traders predict a 35% chance that Democrats sweep Congress and the U.S. enters a recession by the end of 2027.
Follow @PolymarketMoney for breaking finance news & updates. Trading Is Risky. 100% Loss Can Occur. US Users: Featured Market May Not Be Available; Informational Use Only.
04 Nov 2026
The S&P 500 has gone up in the 12 months after every midterm election since 1950, a perfect 19 for 19. On average, stocks gained about 15% in the year after voters went to the polls.
The smallest gain was just 1.1%, after the 1986 midterms, a stretch that included the 1987 stock market crash. With Americans voting in the midterms today, investors are watching to see if the streak holds.
Traders predict a 73% chance that the U.S. Senate midterm winner will be the Democratic party.
Follow @PolymarketMoney for breaking finance news & updates.
Trading Is Risky. 100% Loss Can Occur. US Users: Featured Market Not Available; Informational Use Only.
03 Nov 2026
Palantir has lost about $70 billion in value over the past five days, with its stock down as much as 14%. Shares fell even after the company posted its fastest sales growth ever, with revenue up 96% to $2.3 billion.
Investors focused instead on a sharp slowdown in new contracts, which grew just 6% after jumping 49% the quarter before. With Palantir’s stock priced for near-perfect growth, even small signs of cooling can send shares tumbling.
Traders predict a 36% chance that Palantir will hit $198 in November.
Follow @PolymarketMoney for breaking finance news & updates.
Trading Is Risky. 100% Loss Can Occur. US Users: Featured Market Not Available; Informational Use Only.
03 Nov 2026
Anthropic, the company behind Claude, posted a $23.3 billion net loss last quarter, according to its updated IPO filing. That’s down from a $66.3 billion loss the quarter before, while revenue jumped to about $16.9 billion.
The filing also shows Anthropic has committed to about $895 billion in future spending, mostly on the computing power needed to run its AI. It’s preparing to go public on the Nasdaq under the ticker “ANT.”
Polymarket Perps is launching Anthropic (ANT) pre-IPO perpetuals, allowing eligible traders to take long or short exposure to Anthropic’s pre-IPO valuation.
Key details:
$50,000 total prize pool in pUSD
November 2–15 (2 weeks)
Top 50 traders receive prizes
First place wins $10,000
Rankings are based on trading performance and volume, rather than just trading volume alone.
This is a perpetuals market tracking pre-IPO valuation, not ownership of actual Anthropic shares.
The competition is polymarket.com only and not available in the US.
Trading Is Risky. 100% Loss Can Occur.
02 Nov 2026
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